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← Anthropic's IPO

01 / 11 · Misconception #1: The Revenue

The 435× Gap

Estimate

The $4.6 billion Anthropic booked in 2025 against a $2 trillion price, on one honest scale. Switch the revenue base and the multiple falls from 435× to 10×.

From the article Inside Anthropic's $518 Billion Bet →
The 435× Gap, dashboard Tap to enlarge
Estimate 01The 435× Gap Open full screen ↗

SourceRevenue, 2025: Anthropic’s draft IPO filing, as reported by Reuters. Run-rates: CNBC (July) and The New York Times (on track for December). 2028 forecast and the $2 trillion: Reuters, citing sources. Multiples are our arithmetic.